Sustainable agriculture in Kyrgyzstan

Processing of Horticultural Crops

Photo by UNDP Kyrgyzstan

Processing of Horticultural Crops

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
20% - 25% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Short Term (0–5 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
< USD 50 million
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
< USD 500,000
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Zero Hunger (SDG 2) Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)

Business Model Description

Invest in food processing facilities and clusters of key crops, including vegetables (potatoes, beet), fruits (apricots, berries, grapes, plumps, apples), and nuts (walnut, almond, pistachio), produce high value-added products such as sauces, dry fruit, freeze-dried fruit, natural drinks (kvass and compotes), and juices, and sell the output in the domestic and foreign markets, including China, Arab states, countries-members of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and Eurasian Economic Union (EEU).

Expected Impact

Improve food security by supporting the production of domestic value-added products, increase demand for local agricultural production, and enhance revenue growth for local processors.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Kyrgyzstan: Jalal-Abad Oblast
  • Kyrgyzstan: Issyk-Kul Oblast
  • Kyrgyzstan: Chui Oblast
  • Kyrgyzstan: Osh Oblast
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Food and Beverage

Development need
Kyrgyzstan is highly dependent on imported food due to low productivity and output in the food sector. The country is a net importer of meat and depends on imports of fats, oil, and sunflower seeds, over 90% of which comes from Russia, Belarus or Ukraine. In 2023, 30% of the population lived below the poverty line, spending over 60% of the income on basic food needs (1, 2, 3, 4).

Policy priority
The Programme for the development of the food and processing industry during 2023-2027 aims to ensure food security, efficient use of raw materials, provision of government lending, and attracting investments in the sector. The national development strategy until 2026 emphasizes the role of medium and large processing complexes and logistics centres for boosting export (5, 6).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
The gender-segregated data on land ownership is limited and outdated but reveals that women report themselves as agricultural land owners less often than men. Despite equal legal rights to land resources between men and women, women tend to be excluded from land governance and decision-making (7).

Investment opportunities introduction
In 2023, the food industry, including beverage and tobacco production, has generated approximately USD 830 million in output. The main opportunities in the food sector lie in sugar production, tobacco-fermentation plants, horticultural processing, meat processing, and logistics centres (8, 9).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Climate change, affecting agricultural outputs and prices, supply-chain shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and conflict between Eastern European countries, which are major food importers to Kyrgyzstan, significantly affected the development of food and beverage sector in recent years (1, 4, 10).

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

Development need
Post-harvest losses remain significant, with 30-40% of produce lost during collection, transportation, and storage processes. Despite being a livestock country, 87% of pastures in Kyrgyzstan are degraded at least one season per year. Limited access to high-quality seeds contributes to low seed replacement rates, resulting in reduced yields of fodder and feed crops (11, 12).

Policy priority
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) target reducing agricultural greenhouse gas emissions by optimizing livestock numbers, enhancing pedigree stock, expanding organic crop farming, and increasing manure use as fertilizer. The 2024-2028 Green Economy Programme promotes resource-efficient, eco-friendly farming (13, 14).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
The rural population predominates in Kyrgyzstan, with nearly 65% living in rural areas. Of these, 20% are engaged in agriculture and the majority work informally. In 2021, one in three, or 35%, informally employed women worked in agriculture (11, 15).

Investment opportunities introduction
In 2023, foreign direct investments in agriculture amounted to USD 667,000. Bank loans in the sector increased by 11.6% in 2024, reaching KGS 47 billion (USD 649 million). There are opportunities to invest in storage facilities, berry growing, fish breeding, dairy farms and cheese production, trout farming, and organic production (16, 17, 18).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Low levels of skills in land management, harvest techniques, animal husbandry and veterinary practices, as well as obsolete agricultural equipment significantly hinder the sector’s development (11).

Industry

Processed Foods

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Processing of Horticultural Crops

Business Model

Invest in food processing facilities and clusters of key crops, including vegetables (potatoes, beet), fruits (apricots, berries, grapes, plumps, apples), and nuts (walnut, almond, pistachio), produce high value-added products such as sauces, dry fruit, freeze-dried fruit, natural drinks (kvass and compotes), and juices, and sell the output in the domestic and foreign markets, including China, Arab states, countries-members of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and Eurasian Economic Union (EEU).

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

< USD 50 million

In 2022, Kyrgyzstan's total industrial output reached KGS 61.9 billion (USD708.8 million), with KGS 1.1 billion (USD12.4 million) generated from the production of processed and canned fruits and vegetables (6).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

20% - 25%

The National Investments Agency identified an investment project of a fruit processing plant and storage facility with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 30.14% at the end of fifth year (21).

Another project aimed at production of dry fruits and subsequent export is estimated to yield 21.52% at the end of the fifth year (22).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Short Term (0–5 years)

The National Investments Agency under the President of the Kyrgyz Republic identified an investment project of a fruit processing with a payback period of 2.35-2.59 years (21, 22).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

< USD 500,000

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Tradeable quantities of horticultural produce are often small and difficult, costly to assemble, and invariably are of mixed quality and variety.

Market - High Level of Competition

Continued increased import of cheap products to Kyrgyzstan may reduce demand for domestic products, thereby undermining the sustainability of the business model (6).

Market - Highly Regulated

An incomplete legislative framework governing the agro-food market and the misalignment between Kyrgyz and international food safety standards can hinder the effectiveness of this business model (6).

Impact Case

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Sustainable Development Need

In the total volume of agricultural production in January-March 2024, crop production accounted for only 1.7% (23).

Kyrgyzstan continues relying on imported food for food security. In 2023, it imported 1.5 times more agricultural products than exported (24, 25, 26).

In 2022, the proportion of the population unable to afford a healthy diet in Kyrgyzstan was 35.9%, the highest in Central Asia (27)

Gender & Marginalisation

Women participate in family farms and cooperatives and work as small-scale fruit and vegetable traders and in home-based micro-sized processing and food-preserving enterprises. They face significant barriers to entrepreneurship, including administrative and limited access to credit (28).

In 2022, youth unemployment among individuals aged 15 to 28 reached 8.4%. Meanwhile, employment in the agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sector has continued to decline; by 2018, only 115,700 young people were employed in this sector, compared to a total labour force of 2,543,700 (29, 41, 42).

Poverty is unevenly distributed across the country, with about 75.0% of the poor living in rural areas. Their major source of income is small-scale household crop production (i.e., fruits and vegetables) and livestock production (30).

Expected Development Outcome

Processing of horticultural crops increases the volume of domestically produced fresh vegetables and fruit as a result of heightened demand from food processors.

Processing of horticultural crops increases employment of the rural population, particularly women, in the processing industry and enhances value-addition to boost GDP.

Processing of horticultural crops lowers dependence on imported food products and promotes a healthy diet for the population.

Gender & Marginalisation

Processing of horticultural crops enhances better financial and entrepreneurial outcomes for women by providing employment opportunities.

Processing of horticultural fruits provides an opportunity for enhanced participation of youth in agriculture.

Processing of horticultural fruits contributes to poverty reduction through better employment and income for small- and medium-sized farmers.

Primary SDGs addressed

Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
2 - Zero Hunger

2.1.1 Prevalence of undernourishment

Current Value

The proportion of the population with undernourishment in 2022 amounted to 47.35% (31).

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth

8.2.1 Annual growth rate of real GDP per employed person

Current Value

In 2022, the annual growth rate of real GDP per employed person was 109.27% (32).

Target Value

110 by 2028 (14).

Secondary SDGs addressed

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty
Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

The general public benefits from improved food security in the country.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Rural residents, youth, and women farmers benefit from increased demand for agricultural produce.

Corporates

Local processors benefit from revenue growth as a result of heightened export and domestic demand.

Public sector

The government benefits from reduced dependence on imports, increasing food security and improved the balance of payments.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

Planet

The environment benefits from a decreased burden on soil and water resources, as well as reduced emissions due to lower crop losses through processing.

Outcome Risks

Increased demand for fruits and vegetables may lead to increased demand for irrigation water, thereby worsening water shortage problems.

Impact Risks

Climate change and adverse natural events may reduce the yield of fruit orchards and vegetable gardens, which may reduce the intended positive impact of this business model (6).

Local small- and medium-sized producers may be unable to compete with large investors, leading to a reduction in their numbers, hence, hindering the intended impact of poverty reduction.

Continued increased import of cheap food products to Kyrgyzstan may reduce demand for domestic products, thereby curbing the intended impact of expanding the volume of domestically-produced crops.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

Increased processing of horticultural crops will reduce crop losses, increase farmers' income, improve food security, and reduce dependence on imports.

Who

The public, local farmers, particularly women and youth, processors, and the government benefit from increased demand for fruit and vegetables, enhanced production and better access to food.

Risk

Climate change, competition with large investors, and continued import of cheap horticultural products from other countries may limit the impact of the processing of horticultural crops.

Contribution

Processing of horticultural crops can lead to improved export opportunities due to long shelf life.

How Much

Sales of fruits and vegetables will increase by 10-20% by 2024 (6).

Impact Thesis

Improve food security by supporting the production of domestic value-added products, increase demand for local agricultural production, and enhance revenue growth for local processors.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

The Program for the Development of the Food and Processing Industry of the Kyrgyz Republic for 2023-2027, 2023: using cluster development identifies main priorities, actions and indicators for the development of Horticultural Crops Processing (6).

The National Development Strategy of Kyrgyz Republic for 2018–2040, 2018: aims to provide the population with high-quality food, implement an international standard quality control system for processing agricultural products, and supply raw materials for processing (5).

The National Development Programme until 2026, 2021: sets a strategic goal to improve food security in the country and advance the development of medium and large processing complexes of agricultural products (33).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: The government provides preferential loans to processors of horticultural crops under the programme of lending to the agro-industrial complex with a term of 3 to 5 years and an interest rate of 6% p.a. (38).

Fiscal incentives: Components imported into Kyrgyzstan for producing and assembling agricultural machinery and vehicles are exempt from VAT if used by the manufacturer for production. Additionally, the profits of agricultural producers and agricultural cooperatives are exempt from taxation (39).

Regulatory Environment

Technical Regulations of the Customs Union "On the Safety of Food Products", 2013: establishes uniform sanitary and epidemiological requirements for food products that must be observed by all food industry enterprises within the Eurasian Economic Union (34).

Law No. 183 On food security of the Kyrgyz Republic, 2008: establishes the main directions in the field of ensuring food security of the Kyrgyz Republic, outlines the main directions of the government support, including subsidies, guarantees, financing of research programs and others (35).

Law No. 66 On investments, 2003: establishes the basic principles of the state investment policy, providing fair, equal legal treatment to investors and guaranteeing the protection of their investments in the economy of the Kyrgyz Republic (36).

Law No. 166 On the development of agriculture in the Kyrgyz Republic, 2009: regulates entities' relations to develop the agro-food sector and identifies the production of agricultural products to ensure food security as one of the main areas of government support (37).

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

OSKO, Farmer’s Organic Garden, Agroproduct Asia, Bai Elim, Ecoproduct Asia.

Government

Ministry of Agriculture, Water Resources and Processing Industry, Ministry of Economy and Commerce, National Investment Agency under the President.

Multilaterals

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), Asian Development Bank (ADB), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).

Non-Profit

Association for the Development of the Agro-Industrial Complex, Association of Berry Growerss, U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Kyrgyzstan: Jalal-Abad Oblast

Jalal-Abad region shows significant agricultural potential, contributing 19.5% of Kyrgyzstan's gross agricultural output. The government has prioritized the region for developing vegetable and berry processing within its 2022-2026 Program for Attracting Investments in the Kyrgyz Republic (40, 45).
rural

Kyrgyzstan: Issyk-Kul Oblast

In 2023, vegetable imports to Issyk-Kul declined by 86% to USD 184,300 but remained 13 times higher than exports. Government efforts to promote horticultural and berry processing in the region present an opportunity to enhance the trade balance (40, 44).
rural

Kyrgyzstan: Chui Oblast

In 2022, the prevalence of undernourishment reached 55.8%. The government prioritizes the development of the processing of vegetables and potatoes in the Chui region, presenting an opportunity to address food insecurity (31, 40).
rural

Kyrgyzstan: Osh Oblast

The Program for Attracting Investments in the Kyrgyz Republic for 2022-2026 prioritizes the development of processing of horticultural and berry products in Osh oblast, which will positively affect 35% of the region's population working in the agricultural sector (40, 43).

References

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